That makes perfect sense, but I think there are two factors that could change those calculations.
First, there are tantalizing hints that all is not well in
the Colony. Water is rationed and there is concern about the food supply, where previously supplies of both seemed good. The treatment of the locals appears to be brutal, including killing key people like the only doctor.
Lizzy cannot want her son growing up in
the Family to be
Scratch's protege.
Second,
Saul has
Dunbar Apartments to offer as a refuge (we
hope), which is safe, well supplied, and only lacks the Colony's medical facilities. And, unbeknownst to everyone, is the prospect of a trip to Boulder, with hospitals staffed by doctors.
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