Good analysis of the situation. The only thing I might add is that we don't know how much time elapses between Tanya going to the on call room for a nap and the call about Burt bugging out....(we get the gap with music playing that often tells us that time is passing)
It may not matter because the situation is probably still the same: mostly empty infirmary, majority of the "protective force" either out of the colony, headed out, or occupied. Makes for a helluva situation if we get a slow turner... I'm thinking back to CJ's comments in the last few episodes about "being a goner" if something got in and how walls without a way out is a prison (paraphrasing). Almost like foreshadowing something.
It also makes for a really bad time to have an external attack as well. The helo is grounded because the crew is outside the walls. From CJ's discussion with Burt, it doesn't sound like the M2 is ready to go (and he may have taken it with him). I haven't heard anything in the plans from CJ or otherwise about how they would plan to mount a defense other than walls are repaired and the gate is back to working (yay Datu!).
And..... I'm assuming you mean we are about to see a whole bunch of shoes falling for the Colony, right? I agree.....
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